Bersama sama kita melindungi kekayaan dari penyangak kapitalis !!!
Friday, August 19, 2011
Gold seen peaking at $1,900/oz in next 6 months - GFMS
By Siddesh Mayenkar
MUMBAI | Thu Aug 18, 2011 9:34pm IST
(Reuters) - Gold could hit $1,900 an ounce in the next six months, driven by buyers seeking an investment safe from global economic problems, but a further rise to $2,000 looks unlikely, metals consultancy GFMS said on Thursday.
"Gold will be muddling through to peak at $1,900 (an ounce) as U.S. data points have been ambiguous, the action on the fiscal and monetary front is also ambiguous," said Paul Walker, global head of precious metals at GFMS, which has been acquired by Thomson Reuters.
Gold extended record highs above $1,825 an ounce on Thursday after poorly received U.S. jobs data hurt assets seen as higher risk, such as stocks, while boosting interest in nominal safe havens such as gold.
So far in August, the price has risen by more than 12 percent, putting it on track for its biggest monthly gain since November 2009.
"In the time frame, we really need exceptionally dramatic news to push gold above $2,000 and this is not our base case," said Walker. "This is highly unlikely."
Although gold remains off its inflation-adjusted peak above $2,000 struck in 1980, it is one of the top performing assets this year, up by over 28 percent versus a 15-percent loss in U.S. blue-chip stocks or a 7.7-percent decline in the price of copper.
He said there was a high probability of India's gold imports crossing 1,000 tonnes this year -- up four percent on 2010 -- as expectations were for prices to gain further.
The World Gold Council in a report on Thursday said Indian gold jewellery buying was up 17 percent in the second quarter and that signs of strength in the market remained.
Gold imports by MMTC, India's second biggest importer of the metal, have tumbled to 5 tonnes so far in August as buyers preferred a 'wait-and-watch' approach. Walker said consumers would wait for price stability before jumping in.
"People are getting accustomed to this kind of a benchmark (price) even though it is at incredibly elevated levels. Everybody who is involved in the value chain in the Indian gold market thinks prices will go up," said Walker, ahead of a conference in Kerala.
Silver prices could extend gains to $50 an ounce in the next months from around $40.60 an ounce now, he added.
"It will follow gold up ... It will move towards $50, but it is going to be a hell of a lot more volatile," said Walker.
Silver prices have more than trebled since 2008 to peak at $49.51 an ounce this year.
"Silver will benefit from the same factors as that of gold from rising investment drivers. Until the global macro situation gets clearer, prices will go higher," he said.
(Editing by Anthony Barker)
Source: http://in.reuters.com/article/2011/08/18/idINIndia-58854820110818
MUMBAI | Thu Aug 18, 2011 9:34pm IST
(Reuters) - Gold could hit $1,900 an ounce in the next six months, driven by buyers seeking an investment safe from global economic problems, but a further rise to $2,000 looks unlikely, metals consultancy GFMS said on Thursday.
"Gold will be muddling through to peak at $1,900 (an ounce) as U.S. data points have been ambiguous, the action on the fiscal and monetary front is also ambiguous," said Paul Walker, global head of precious metals at GFMS, which has been acquired by Thomson Reuters.
Gold extended record highs above $1,825 an ounce on Thursday after poorly received U.S. jobs data hurt assets seen as higher risk, such as stocks, while boosting interest in nominal safe havens such as gold.
So far in August, the price has risen by more than 12 percent, putting it on track for its biggest monthly gain since November 2009.
"In the time frame, we really need exceptionally dramatic news to push gold above $2,000 and this is not our base case," said Walker. "This is highly unlikely."
Although gold remains off its inflation-adjusted peak above $2,000 struck in 1980, it is one of the top performing assets this year, up by over 28 percent versus a 15-percent loss in U.S. blue-chip stocks or a 7.7-percent decline in the price of copper.
He said there was a high probability of India's gold imports crossing 1,000 tonnes this year -- up four percent on 2010 -- as expectations were for prices to gain further.
The World Gold Council in a report on Thursday said Indian gold jewellery buying was up 17 percent in the second quarter and that signs of strength in the market remained.
Gold imports by MMTC, India's second biggest importer of the metal, have tumbled to 5 tonnes so far in August as buyers preferred a 'wait-and-watch' approach. Walker said consumers would wait for price stability before jumping in.
"People are getting accustomed to this kind of a benchmark (price) even though it is at incredibly elevated levels. Everybody who is involved in the value chain in the Indian gold market thinks prices will go up," said Walker, ahead of a conference in Kerala.
Silver prices could extend gains to $50 an ounce in the next months from around $40.60 an ounce now, he added.
"It will follow gold up ... It will move towards $50, but it is going to be a hell of a lot more volatile," said Walker.
Silver prices have more than trebled since 2008 to peak at $49.51 an ounce this year.
"Silver will benefit from the same factors as that of gold from rising investment drivers. Until the global macro situation gets clearer, prices will go higher," he said.
(Editing by Anthony Barker)
Source: http://in.reuters.com/article/2011/08/18/idINIndia-58854820110818
Permintaan kukuh pengguna serta pelabur global menjelang 2014
Sedikit berita baik untuk penggemar-penggemar emas. Harini dalam akhbar-akhbar utama memaparkan berita2 berkenaan jangkaan kenaikkan harga emas menjelang tahun 2014. Jom kita tengok apa yang dibincangkan dalam akhbar tersebut
Harga emas RM202.57 segram
Oleh Mahanum Abdul Aziz
Permintaan kukuh pengguna serta pelabur global menjelang 2014
HARGA emas dijangka meneruskan aliran meningkatnya sehingga mencecah AS$2,100 seaun atau AS$67.5 (RM202.57) segram menjelang 2014, meningkat 33 peratus berbanding harga semasa AS$1,527.2 (RM) atau AS$49.1 (RM147.32) segram susulan permintaan kukuh pengguna serta pelabur global.
Ketua Strategi Pelaburan Standard Chartered Bank (Stanchart), Steve Brice, berkata menjelang awal tahun depan, harga emas dijangka meningkat melepasi paras AS$1,600 seaun atau AS$51.4 (RM157.34) segram, 4.3 peratus lebih tinggi berbanding harga semasa.
Brice menjelaskan, terdapat kaitan ketara antara pendapatan isi rumah di China dan India dengan harga emas berikutan peningkatan pendapatan boleh guna di dua negara pembeli emas utama dunia itu yang mana akan menggalakkan permintaan logam berharga berkenaan.
Kumpulan perbankan universal yang memiliki lebih 1,700 cawangan di seluruh dunia itu, menjangkakan ekonomi China dan India akan terus mencatatkan pertumbuhan mantap, sekali gus melonjakkan pendapatan boleh guna rakyat di negara berkenaan.
“Permintaan emas dijangka terus meningkat kerana pelabur melihat komoditi itu sebagai pelaburan lindung nilai,” katanya pada taklimat media mengenai jangkaan pelaburan pada separuh kedua tahun ini di Kuala Lumpur semalam.
Selain itu, Brice berkata, kebimbangan terhadap pemulihan ekonomi Amerika Syarikat (AS) juga menyebabkan bank pusat di seluruh dunia meningkatkan rizab emas masing-masing, justeru menyokong harga komoditi itu terus didagangkan pada harga tinggi.
Sementara itu, tambah beliau, keadaan kadar faedah benar yang masih negatif di AS menawarkan persekitaran yang baik untuk emas.
“Sejarah membuktikan pulangan dalam pelaburan emas sangat tinggi ketika kadar faedah sebenar adalah negatif,” katanya.
Bekalan emas juga, katanya, dijangka mengalami kekangan dalam tempoh terdekat dan ia akan terus menyokong kenaikan harga komoditi itu.
“Kita jangkakan harga emas akan mencecah AS$2,100 pada 2014 dan AS$1,600 pada suku pertama 2012,” katanya.
Pada suku keempat tahun lalu, permintaan barang kemas di India dan China masing-masing meningkat sebanyak 52.8 peratus dan 31.9 peratus berbanding tahun sebelumnya.
Secara keseluruhan, permintaan barangan perhiasan emas global meningkat 8.5 peratus pada suku keempat lalu atau 575.2 tan berbanding tahun sebelumnya.
Pada akhir tahun lalu, harga emas ditutup pada AS$1,421.40 seauns, naik kira-kira 31 peratus berbanding 2009 didorong permintaan berterusan dari China dan jangkaan spekulator bahawa mereka akan meraih untung lebih daripadanya.
Mengenai pasaran saham Malaysia, Brice berkata, pihaknya amat positif dengan prestasi saham tempatan dalam tempoh terdekat kerana kebiasaannya pasaran saham akan mencatatkan prestasi yang baik pada Julai dan Ogos.
Beliau berkata, dengan jangkaan bahawa ekonomi global akan mencatatkan pemulihan pada separuh kedua tahun ini akan menyokong prestasi pasaran saham.
Sumber: Berita Harian
Harga emas RM202.57 segram
Oleh Mahanum Abdul Aziz
Permintaan kukuh pengguna serta pelabur global menjelang 2014
HARGA emas dijangka meneruskan aliran meningkatnya sehingga mencecah AS$2,100 seaun atau AS$67.5 (RM202.57) segram menjelang 2014, meningkat 33 peratus berbanding harga semasa AS$1,527.2 (RM) atau AS$49.1 (RM147.32) segram susulan permintaan kukuh pengguna serta pelabur global.
Ketua Strategi Pelaburan Standard Chartered Bank (Stanchart), Steve Brice, berkata menjelang awal tahun depan, harga emas dijangka meningkat melepasi paras AS$1,600 seaun atau AS$51.4 (RM157.34) segram, 4.3 peratus lebih tinggi berbanding harga semasa.
Brice menjelaskan, terdapat kaitan ketara antara pendapatan isi rumah di China dan India dengan harga emas berikutan peningkatan pendapatan boleh guna di dua negara pembeli emas utama dunia itu yang mana akan menggalakkan permintaan logam berharga berkenaan.
Kumpulan perbankan universal yang memiliki lebih 1,700 cawangan di seluruh dunia itu, menjangkakan ekonomi China dan India akan terus mencatatkan pertumbuhan mantap, sekali gus melonjakkan pendapatan boleh guna rakyat di negara berkenaan.
“Permintaan emas dijangka terus meningkat kerana pelabur melihat komoditi itu sebagai pelaburan lindung nilai,” katanya pada taklimat media mengenai jangkaan pelaburan pada separuh kedua tahun ini di Kuala Lumpur semalam.
Selain itu, Brice berkata, kebimbangan terhadap pemulihan ekonomi Amerika Syarikat (AS) juga menyebabkan bank pusat di seluruh dunia meningkatkan rizab emas masing-masing, justeru menyokong harga komoditi itu terus didagangkan pada harga tinggi.
Sementara itu, tambah beliau, keadaan kadar faedah benar yang masih negatif di AS menawarkan persekitaran yang baik untuk emas.
“Sejarah membuktikan pulangan dalam pelaburan emas sangat tinggi ketika kadar faedah sebenar adalah negatif,” katanya.
Bekalan emas juga, katanya, dijangka mengalami kekangan dalam tempoh terdekat dan ia akan terus menyokong kenaikan harga komoditi itu.
“Kita jangkakan harga emas akan mencecah AS$2,100 pada 2014 dan AS$1,600 pada suku pertama 2012,” katanya.
Pada suku keempat tahun lalu, permintaan barang kemas di India dan China masing-masing meningkat sebanyak 52.8 peratus dan 31.9 peratus berbanding tahun sebelumnya.
Secara keseluruhan, permintaan barangan perhiasan emas global meningkat 8.5 peratus pada suku keempat lalu atau 575.2 tan berbanding tahun sebelumnya.
Pada akhir tahun lalu, harga emas ditutup pada AS$1,421.40 seauns, naik kira-kira 31 peratus berbanding 2009 didorong permintaan berterusan dari China dan jangkaan spekulator bahawa mereka akan meraih untung lebih daripadanya.
Mengenai pasaran saham Malaysia, Brice berkata, pihaknya amat positif dengan prestasi saham tempatan dalam tempoh terdekat kerana kebiasaannya pasaran saham akan mencatatkan prestasi yang baik pada Julai dan Ogos.
Beliau berkata, dengan jangkaan bahawa ekonomi global akan mencatatkan pemulihan pada separuh kedua tahun ini akan menyokong prestasi pasaran saham.
Sumber: Berita Harian
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